Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
62% | 38% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
62% | 38% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo | 62% |
| O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Marine Johannès: Points O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Pauline Astier: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 176.5 | 47% |
| O/U 177.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| O/U 178.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
Market context
The New York Liberty face the Toronto Tempo in a WNBA contest at Bell Centre on 12 July, with the Liberty favoured to secure the win. The crowd-implied probability of 62% YES for a Liberty victory aligns with their recent head-to-head dominance, having beaten Tempo 97–82 in their only 2026 meeting on 3 June, where Jonquel Jones recorded 22 points and 17 rebounds[1][7]. That result established a clear historical frame: Liberty have won the sole prior encounter, and current ESPN matchup predictors still assign them a 67.2% chance of winning this fixture[2].
Traders should monitor injury reports and starting-lineup confirmations before the 3:00 PM ET start, as Tempo’s home record (2–2) and Liberty’s away form (2–1) remain closely balanced[2]. The betting line places Liberty at –6.5, implying a margin victory is expected, while the over/under sits at 178.5 points, suggesting a high-scoring affair[10]. Any delay or postponement would keep the market open until completion, but a full cancellation would resolve 50–50, adding a binary risk layer to position sizing.
This market’s depth reflects funding flows enabled by low-friction on-ramps: Klarna deposits and SEPA withdrawals reduce deposit friction, while USDC rails support faster settlement for active traders. The book’s liquidity correlates directly with these payment rails, as smoother access drives higher volume and tighter spreads. With settlement closing at 19:00 UTC on 12 July, traders must ensure deposits clear before the window closes to avoid exposure to last-minute volatility.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $223K.
Methodology
This page compares New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo on Polymarket Klarna UK
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