Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
72% | 28% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
72% | 28% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots | 72% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots | 72% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots | 69% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots | 65% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots | 57% |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots on target | 56% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots | 55% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | 52% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots | 52% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Juan Musso: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Leandro Paredes: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Enzo Fernández: 3+ goals | 50% |
| Facundo Medina: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Nahuel Molina: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Nico Elvedi: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Remo Freuler: 2+ shots | 49% |
| Remo Freuler: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots on target | 49% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Enzo Fernández: 3+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Fabian Rieder: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Leandro Paredes: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 3+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Cristian Romero: 3+ shots | 48% |
| Denis Zakaria: 3+ shots | 48% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 3+ shots | 48% |
| Manuel Akanji: 2+ shots | 48% |
| Ricardo Rodriguez: 2+ shots | 48% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots on target | 48% |
| Cristian Romero: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots on target | 48% |
| Denis Zakaria: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Denis Zakaria: 2+ shots on target | 48% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots on target | 48% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Julián Álvarez: 4+ shots on target | 48% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots on target | 48% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots on target | 48% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ shots on target | 48% |
| Lionel Messi: 4+ shots on target | 48% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots on target | 48% |
| Gregor Kobel: 3+ saves | 48% |
| Gregor Kobel: 5+ saves | 48% |
| Juan Musso: 3+ saves | 48% |
| Juan Musso: 4+ saves | 48% |
| Juan Musso: 5+ saves | 48% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Enzo Fernández: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Fabian Rieder: 1+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Fabian Rieder: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Fabian Rieder: 3+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Granit Xhaka: 3+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Granit Xhaka: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals + assists | 46% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target | 45% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots on target | 44% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots on target | 42% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots | 40% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots | 40% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ goals | 39% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots | 38% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots on target | 38% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots | 37% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots | 37% |
| Remo Freuler: 1+ shots | 37% |
| Facundo Medina: 1+ shots on target | 37% |
| Cristian Romero: 1+ shots | 36% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goals | 36% |
| Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots | 35% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots on target | 35% |
| Denis Zakaria: 1+ shots | 34% |
| Manuel Akanji: 1+ shots | 34% |
| Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots on target | 34% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots | 32% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ shots | 31% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on target | 31% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ shots on target | 31% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots on target | 31% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ shots on target | 30% |
| Gregor Kobel: 4+ saves | 30% |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals | 28% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | 28% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ shots | 28% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | 28% |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target | 28% |
| Facundo Medina: 1+ shots | 27% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots | 26% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots on target | 25% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ goals | 25% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots | 24% |
| Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots | 24% |
| Ricardo Rodriguez: 1+ shots | 24% |
| Nico Elvedi: 1+ shots | 23% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists | 23% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ shots | 22% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals + assists | 20% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals | 19% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots | 19% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shots on target | 19% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ goals + assists | 17% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | 16% |
| Julián Álvarez: 4+ shots | 16% |
| Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots on target | 16% |
| Nahuel Molina: 1+ shots on target | 16% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots | 15% |
| Remo Freuler: 1+ shots on target | 15% |
| Cristian Romero: 2+ shots | 14% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots | 14% |
| Denis Zakaria: 2+ shots | 14% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ shots | 14% |
| Granit Xhaka: 3+ shots | 14% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots | 14% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ assists | 14% |
| Fabian Rieder: 1+ assists | 14% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals | 13% |
| Giovani Lo Celso: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Giovani Lo Celso: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Nicolás González: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Nicolás Paz: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Nicolás Paz: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ assists | 13% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Manuel Akanji: 1+ shots on target | 13% |
| Nico Elvedi: 1+ shots on target | 13% |
| Ricardo Rodriguez: 1+ shots on target | 13% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolás González: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Nicolás Paz: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Thiago Almada: 2+ goals | 12% |
| Thiago Almada: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shots | 12% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots | 12% |
| Fabian Rieder: 2+ assists | 12% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots on target | 12% |
| Enzo Fernández: 3+ shots | 11% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assists | 11% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ assists | 11% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Julián Álvarez: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Fabian Rieder: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Leandro Paredes: 2+ goals | 9% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots | 9% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots | 9% |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ assists | 9% |
| Fabian Rieder: 1+ goals | 9% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals | 8% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ goals | 8% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals | 8% |
| Enzo Fernández: 4+ shots | 8% |
| Leandro Paredes: 3+ shots | 8% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 3+ shots | 8% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ shots | 8% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Leandro Paredes: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Breel Embolo: 5+ shots | 7% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 5+ shots | 7% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ assists | 7% |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ assists | 7% |
| Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Thiago Almada: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Dan Ndoye: 5+ shots | 6% |
| Ruben Vargas: 5+ shots | 6% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 4+ shots | 5% |
| Enzo Fernández: 5+ shots | 5% |
| Rodrigo de Paul: 4+ shots | 5% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | 4% |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | 4% |
| Leandro Paredes: 4+ shots | 4% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Granit Xhaka: 2+ assists | 2% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ assists | 2% |
| Julián Álvarez: 2+ assists | 2% |
| Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Enzo Fernández: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goals | 1% |
Market context
The Argentina vs. Switzerland - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 72% YES. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Switzerland, scheduled for July 11 at 9:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Argentina vs. Switzerland - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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