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Norway vs. England - Player Props

Fastest route to "Norway vs. England - Player Props": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 94% Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 92% Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots 84% Erling Haaland: 2+ shots 76% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Norway vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots94%
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots92%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots84%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots76%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots73%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots68%
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ shots67%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots62%
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shots62%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots56%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target50%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots on target50%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves50%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves50%
Ørjan Nyland: 2+ saves50%
Ørjan Nyland: 5+ saves50%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists50%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals + assists50%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists50%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists50%
Elliot Anderson: 3+ goals + assists50%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists50%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists50%
Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists50%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists50%
Martin Ødegaard: 2+ goals + assists50%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists50%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists50%
Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists50%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target50%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots49%
Ezri Konsa: 2+ shots49%
Kristoffer Ajer: 2+ shots49%
Sander Berge: 2+ shots49%
Torbjørn Heggem: 2+ shots49%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots on target49%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target49%
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shots on target49%
Fredrik Aursnes: 2+ shots on target49%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots on target49%
Martin Ødegaard: 3+ shots on target49%
Nico O’Reilly: 2+ shots on target49%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots on target49%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves49%
Ørjan Nyland: 3+ saves49%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists49%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists49%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals + assists49%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assists49%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists49%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals + assists49%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals + assists49%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assists49%
Declan Rice: 2+ goals + assists49%
Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assists49%
Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assists49%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ goals + assists49%
Elliot Anderson: 4+ goals + assists49%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists49%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals + assists49%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists49%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists49%
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goals + assists49%
Martin Ødegaard: 3+ goals + assists49%
Martin Ødegaard: 4+ goals + assists49%
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ goals + assists49%
Nico O’Reilly: 2+ goals + assists49%
Nico O’Reilly: 3+ goals + assists49%
Nico O’Reilly: 4+ goals + assists49%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals + assists49%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals + assists49%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals + assists49%
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assists49%
Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals48%
Patrick Berg: 3+ shots48%
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots47%
Marc Guéhi: 2+ shots47%
Patrick Berg: 1+ shots47%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target47%
Marcus Pedersen: 1+ shots on target47%
Fredrik Aursnes: 3+ shots46%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals45%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots45%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ shots44%
Martin Ødegaard: 2+ shots44%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots43%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots40%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots40%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots39%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots on target39%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots on target38%
Declan Rice: 1+ shots35%
Marcus Pedersen: 2+ shots35%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots33%
Ørjan Nyland: 4+ saves33%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists33%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots on target32%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots on target32%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots31%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots31%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target31%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ shots on target31%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target31%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target31%
Patrick Berg: 2+ shots on target31%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target30%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves30%
Declan Rice: 2+ shots29%
Nico O’Reilly: 2+ shots27%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target27%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals26%
Ezri Konsa: 1+ shots26%
Sander Berge: 1+ shots26%
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shots25%
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ shots on target25%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assists25%
Patrick Berg: 2+ shots24%
Patrick Berg: 1+ shots on target24%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals + assists24%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assists24%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots23%
Kristoffer Ajer: 1+ shots23%
Declan Rice: 1+ shots on target23%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ shots on target23%
David Møller Wolfe: 1+ shots22%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots22%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target22%
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shots on target22%
Marcus Pedersen: 1+ shots21%
Torbjørn Heggem: 1+ shots21%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists21%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals20%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target20%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals19%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots19%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists19%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists19%
Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assists19%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals18%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals18%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots18%
Erling Haaland: 5+ shots18%
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assists18%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ shots17%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots17%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots17%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists17%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assists17%
Fredrik Aursnes: 2+ shots16%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots16%
Noni Madueke: 1+ assists16%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots on target16%
Marc Guéhi: 1+ shots on target16%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists16%
Ezri Konsa: 1+ shots on target15%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals14%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots14%
Declan Rice: 1+ assists14%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists14%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target14%
David Møller Wolfe: 1+ shots on target14%
Kristoffer Ajer: 1+ shots on target14%
Sander Berge: 1+ shots on target14%
Torbjørn Heggem: 1+ shots on target14%
Martin Ødegaard: 3+ shots13%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists13%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists13%
Erling Haaland: 2+ assists13%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists13%
Nico O’Reilly: 2+ assists13%
Noni Madueke: 2+ assists13%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists13%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target13%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals12%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots12%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots12%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ assists12%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists12%
Martin Ødegaard: 2+ assists12%
Declan Rice: 2+ shots on target12%
Martin Ødegaard: 2+ shots on target12%
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goals11%
David Møller Wolfe: 2+ shots11%
Noni Madueke: 5+ shots11%
Declan Rice: 1+ goals10%
Anthony Gordon: 5+ shots10%
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots10%
Nico O’Reilly: 3+ shots10%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assists10%
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists10%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists10%
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ goals9%
Declan Rice: 3+ shots9%
Marc Guéhi: 1+ shots9%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists9%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists9%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ assists9%
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ assists9%
Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots8%
Martin Ødegaard: 4+ shots8%
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals7%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals7%
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals7%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals7%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals7%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots7%
Elliot Anderson: 3+ shots7%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals6%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals6%
Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals6%
Martin Ødegaard: 5+ shots6%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals5%
Kristian Thorstvedt: 1+ goals5%
Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals5%
Elliot Anderson: 4+ shots5%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals4%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals4%
Nico O’Reilly: 2+ goals4%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals4%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals3%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals3%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals3%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals3%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals3%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals3%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals3%
Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals3%
Declan Rice: 4+ shots3%
Declan Rice: 2+ assists3%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists3%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals2%
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals2%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals2%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals2%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals2%
Declan Rice: 2+ goals2%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals2%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ goals2%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals2%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals2%
Kristian Thorstvedt: 2+ goals2%
Martin Ødegaard: 2+ goals2%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals2%
Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals2%
Nico O’Reilly: 4+ shots2%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists2%
Elliot Anderson: 2+ assists1%

Market context

The FIFA World Cup quarter-final between Norway and England kicks off on 11 July at 5:00 PM ET, with Erling Haaland facing England’s centre-back pairing of John Stones and Marc Guéhi as the match’s decisive duel [1]. England are favoured to win 2-1, backed by superior tournament form and the consistent goal threat of Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham across five games [1]. The 18% crowd-implied probability for the YES side on this player prop reflects a cautious market stance despite Haaland’s proven ability to score regardless of the final result [1].

Historically, player props in World Cup quarter-finals involving underdogs like Norway—who shocked Brazil 2-1 to reach this stage—often see higher volatility than team-result markets, with individual goal props frequently trading at wider spreads than implied by pre-match odds [5]. Comparable cases from recent tournaments show that when a top striker like Haaland faces a defensively organised side, the market often underprices the likelihood of a goal if the team’s overall win probability is low, creating a divergence between book depth and crowd sentiment [1].

Traders should monitor final squad announcements and any late injury updates for Haaland or England’s attacking trio, as these directly impact prop liquidity and settlement clarity [1]. Recent coverage from Total Football Analysis highlights that England’s greater quality across the pitch should edge this competitive match, suggesting that funding flows into player props will intensify as deposit rails like Klarna and SEPA facilitate faster on-ramps ahead of the 5:00 PM ET start [1]. Withdrawal speed via USDC may also influence late-stage book depth as traders adjust positions before the 21:00 UTC settlement window closes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Norway vs. England - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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