Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5) | 0% |
| IK Sirius (-1.5) | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5) | 0% |
| IK Sirius (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Swedish Allsvenskan match between IF Brommapojkarna and IK Sirius kicks off at 14:30 UTC today at Grimsta IP in Stockholm, with the game serving as the settlement event for this prediction market. Historical head-to-head data shows Brommapojkarna has won only five of their past 21 meetings against Sirius, while Sirius secured 12 victories and four matches ended in draws, suggesting a competitive but historically uneven contest [1][8].
The current 0% YES probability reflects a market that has seen minimal funding inflow, likely due to on-ramp friction for users attempting to deposit via Klarna or convert to USDC before the settlement window closes. Comparable cases in Swedish football markets show that when deposit fees or withdrawal rail delays (such as SEPA processing times) exceed user tolerance, book depth collapses rapidly, leaving probabilities unanchored to actual team form until liquidity improves.
Traders should monitor any announcements regarding Klarna integration updates or SEPA fee adjustments from Polymarket, as these directly impact deposit friction and could trigger sudden liquidity surges. With the settlement window ending at 14:30 UTC today, any delay in payment rail confirmation could prevent late entries, effectively locking the current 0% probability regardless of the match outcome. No recent news sources indicate imminent payment infrastructure changes, but the timing dependency remains critical for market depth [2][4].
Methodology
This page compares IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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