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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers

Trade "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

O/U 4.5 100% Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers 95% Spread -1.5 90% O/U 6.5 71% Volume: $472K Liquidity: $407K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 4.5100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers95%
Spread -1.590%
O/U 6.571%
O/U 5.567%
O/U 7.555%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -4.550%
Spread -3.550%
O/U 8.541%
Spread -5.536%
Spread -1.54%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies face the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 12 July for the final game of a three-game series, with the winner taking the series outright. The Phillies, sitting 53–43 and second in the NL East, defeated the Tigers 4–2 the previous night to end Detroit’s six-game winning streak, leaving the Tigers at 44–51 and fourth in the AL Central [1][2]. This head-to-head momentum underpins the 95% YES crowd-implied probability that the Phillies will win, reflecting their recent dominance in this matchup.

Historically, mid-summer series between these clubs show the Phillies holding a clear edge when carrying a win from the prior game, particularly in Detroit where the under has hit in three of the Tigers’ last five home games as favourites [9]. Comparable cases from the 2024 and 2025 seasons show similar probability spikes (90–97%) when the Phillies won the opener of a three-game set, with the series outcome resolving in line with pre-game odds once the second game concluded.

Traders should monitor the starting pitcher announcement for the Phillies, as Cristopher Sánchez’s seven-strikeout performance in game one suggests he may return, though rotation depth could shift depending on the All-Star break schedule [1][3]. Any delay or postponement would keep the market open until completion, while a cancellation would force a 50–50 resolution. The game is scheduled for 1:40PM ET, with ticket data confirming Comerica Park as the venue [7]. Funding flows via Klarna and SEPA on-ramps remain the primary driver of book depth, linking deposit friction directly to liquidity in this high-probability outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 4.5 at 100% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers".

O/U 4.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $472K.

Methodology

This page compares Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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Trade Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers on Polymarket Klarna UK

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Related Topics

Sports