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Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 27?

Trade "Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 27?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

40°C 100% 33°C or below 0% 34°C 0% 35°C 0% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $204K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 27?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
40°C100%
33°C or below0%
34°C0%
35°C0%
36°C0%
37°C0%
38°C0%
39°C0%
41°C0%
42°C0%
43°C or higher0%

Market context

Chongqing is on track for a hot day, with the city’s forecast page showing a July 27 low of 24°C and 36mm of rain, which usually points to warm, humid conditions rather than an outright cool break from summer heat.[1] For this market, the key question is the **day’s peak at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport**, not the citywide average, so traders should focus on whether cloud cover and rainfall keep the airport’s maximum temperature below the mid-30s Celsius bands that often matter for settlement.[1]

The current **0% YES** crowd view is best read as a funding and access story as much as a weather view: low-probability markets can stay thin when deposits, fees, or withdrawal routes make small positions less attractive, while easier on-ramps such as **Klarna**, **SEPA**, and **USDC** typically support deeper books by lowering friction for fresh collateral. In practical terms, book depth here is likely to move with how easily traders can move fiat in and out and recycle balances, rather than with weather conviction alone.

The main catalysts are the airport’s actual afternoon heating profile and any change in local weather timing before the settlement cut-off, especially shifts in rain bands or cloud break-up that could lift the high above expectations. Because the market resolves from Wunderground’s daily history for ZUCK, the late-day maximum matters more than early-morning conditions, so traders will watch whether convection or showers suppress the day’s ceiling, or whether a brief clearing allows a higher spike in temperature.[1]

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 27? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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