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Highest temperature in Taipei on August 8?

Trade "Highest temperature in Taipei on August 8?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

32°C or higher 100% 22°C or below 0% 23°C 0% 24°C 0% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $237K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Highest temperature in Taipei on August 8?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
32°C or higher100%
22°C or below0%
23°C0%
24°C0%
25°C0%
26°C0%
27°C0%
28°C0%
29°C0%
30°C0%
31°C0%

Market context

Taipei’s **highest temperature on 8 August** will be judged off Weather Underground’s station observations at Taipei Songshan Airport, so the relevant question is whether the day’s peak reaches the higher Celsius bands rather than the lower single-digit rain-cooled ranges. Seasonal climatology points to a hot, humid August: Time and Date puts Taipei’s August high at about 93°F (34°C) with a low near 80°F (27°C), while other travel weather guides cluster around the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for typical daily highs.[13][5][12]

The current **0% YES** looks easy to explain: forecasts for 8 August show heavy rain, overcast skies and a high around 88–90°F, with rainfall odds near 100% on some services.[4][8][15] That matters because prediction markets on weather often reprice sharply when a wet forecast trims the chance of an extreme late-morning or early-afternoon spike. Taipei’s record history still shows that sharp heat is possible in August — the city reached 39.3°C on 8 August 2013 — but that is an outlier rather than the base case.[6]

For traders, the main catalysts are the hourly evolution of the Songshan Airport observation rather than the daily summary headline. Watch the final pre-settlement forecast updates, any thunderstorm timing shifts, and whether the rain clears long enough for a midday peak; if the cloud/rain shield persists, book depth is unlikely to move much from the current low-implied outcome. On the funding side, tighter spreads usually follow fresh deposits and fast on-ramps, so Klarna-style card inflows, SEPA transfers, or USDC top-ups can matter indirectly by increasing available liquidity when weather volatility briefly picks up.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Taipei on August 8? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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