Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 2?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chongqing faces its peak summer heat on 2 July 2026, with the Jiangbei International Airport Station expected to record temperatures well above 35°C. Historical data confirms July is the city’s hottest month, where average highs reach 33°C and extremes frequently hit 43°C due to intense humidity and the urban heat island effect[1][2]. The current 0% crowd-implied probability for a specific lower range appears inconsistent with these climate records, as similar markets on 1 July showed low odds for 30°C despite clear evidence that such temperatures are routinely surpassed[4]. Traders should view this probability as a mispricing rather than a genuine forecast, given that Chongqing is famously one of China’s “Four Furnaces” where heat often feels even more severe than the raw numbers suggest[5].

The primary catalyst for this market is the official Wunderground temperature release at 12:00 UTC, which will settle the book based on the highest recorded value for the day. Recent weather reports indicate that summer in Chongqing sees temperatures soaring between 25°C and 35°C, with humidity making conditions feel significantly hotter[6]. While no specific weather announcement has altered the forecast recently, the settlement dependency on the Wunderground data stream means traders must monitor the on-ramp friction for depositing funds via Klarna or SEPA to capitalise on the book depth before the window closes. The market’s traction is directly tied to these funding flows, as users seeking to withdraw profits via USDC rails will drive liquidity into the book as the settlement time approaches.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 2? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.