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Spain vs. Austria - More Markets

Trade "Spain vs. Austria - More Markets" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

O/U 0.5 94% Spain O/U 0.5 89% Team to Advance 87% O/U 1.5 77% Volume: $214K Liquidity: $2.8M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Spain vs. Austria - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
Spain O/U 0.589%
Team to Advance87%
O/U 1.577%
2nd Half O/U 0.576%
1st Half O/U 0.572%
Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.570%
Spain O/U 1.564%
Spain 1st Half O/U 0.564%
O/U 2.553%
Spain (-1.5)48%
Austria O/U 0.546%
2nd Half O/U 1.543%
Both Teams to Score41%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
Spain O/U 2.535%
Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.535%
Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.530%
O/U 3.530%
Spain 1st Half O/U 1.526%
Spain (-2.5)26%
Austria 1st Half O/U 0.522%
2nd Half O/U 2.522%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half21%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?19%
Both Teams to Score in First Half15%
O/U 4.514%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?14%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
Austria O/U 1.513%
Spain (-3.5)12%
Austria 2nd Half O/U 1.56%
Spain (-5.5)6%
O/U 5.56%
Spain (-4.5)4%
Austria O/U 2.52%
Austria 1st Half O/U 1.52%
Austria (-1.5)2%
O/U 6.52%
Austria (-2.5)1%
Austria (-3.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Austria (-4.5)0%
Austria (-5.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, spain vs. austria - more markets stands at 94% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Spain vs. Austria - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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