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Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 3?

Trade "Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 3?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

24°C 87% 25°C 8% 26°C 4% 27°C 2% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $50K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 3?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
24°C87%
25°C8%
26°C4%
27°C2%
23°C or below0%
28°C0%
29°C0%
30°C0%
31°C0%
32°C0%
33°C or higher0%

Market context

Chongqing’s heat market is really a bet on whether the city’s late-summer daytime peak at Jiangbei Airport clears the levels usually seen in early August, when average highs are already in the mid-30s Celsius and the month is typically the year’s hottest. Historical climate references put Chongqing’s August high around 34°C, with some day-level August highs near 34.7°C, while broader records show the city can surge far higher in heatwave years, reaching 43°C in 2022.[2][4][9]

For a 0% crowd-implied YES, the key read is not whether Chongqing is warm, but whether traders expect the airport station to print a top reading above the relevant bracket before the market’s settlement cut-off. That matters because the resolution source is the daily high at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on Wunderground, which can differ from city-wide climate averages and from headline forecasts; traders usually care most about where the terminal observations sit during the afternoon peak rather than the morning starting point.[1][2][3] On the funding side, markets like this tend to widen when deposits are frictionless and withdrawals are quick: Klarna on-ramp flow can pull in smaller retail tickets, while SEPA and USDC rails matter for moving idle balances in and out, which is what ultimately deepens the book.

The main catalysts are the day’s forecast updates, any shift in cloud cover or rainfall, and the timing of the strongest solar heating around local mid-afternoon. August in Chongqing is also prone to rain and humidity, which can cap the peak even when the air stays oppressive; travel-weather references describe the month as hot and rainy rather than uniformly extreme.[2][20] Traders watching the book depth should pay attention to whether fresh weather revisions or settlement-side data updates bring in new flow, because these markets often move when users top up after seeing a clearer path to a narrow temperature band rather than the outright top bracket.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 3? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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