Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 3?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport is the reference point for this market, and the relevant outcome is the day’s **highest temperature** there on 3 August. August is normally the hottest stretch of the year in Chengdu, with long-run guides and climate summaries putting typical daytime highs around **30–32°C**, alongside high humidity and frequent rain showers that can briefly interrupt, but not necessarily cap, afternoon heat[1][3][9][15][16].

That seasonal backdrop helps explain why a **0% yes** crowd price is mainly a statement about market positioning rather than the weather itself. Comparable August climate data show highs often in the low 30s, while several forecast services for early August 2026 are already printing around **33–35°C** for Chengdu, with some model outputs even higher[4][5][6][14]. In other words, the settlement range needs to capture a fairly ordinary hot-day outcome for this city, not an extreme event, so the book can stay shallow if traders face deposit or withdrawal friction before they can express that view[1][12][15].

For traders, the immediate catalysts are the airport station observation itself and any shift in the local forecast into the afternoon window when Chengdu commonly peaks. The practical constraint is funding flow: markets such as this often only deepen when users can move money in and out cheaply through familiar rails, and payment options like **Klarna**, **SEPA** and **USDC** can matter more than the weather model if they reduce on-ramp delays and withdrawal hassle. If Chengdu settles into another hot, sunny afternoon similar to current short-range forecasts, the question becomes whether fresh liquidity arrives quickly enough to move the price before the day’s maximum is fixed[4][14].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 3? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.