Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Klarna UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Klarna UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Klarna UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Klarna UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Klarna UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Klarna UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Klarna UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The third-place playoff match between All Gamers and TYLOO in the China Evolution Series Act 2 will determine which team claims the bronze medal and associated prize pool allocation on 30 May at 05:00 ET. Both squads are established fixtures in the Chinese Valorant ecosystem, with TYLOO holding a longer competitive history across multiple tactical shooters. The match format is best-of-five, meaning the first team to secure three map wins advances. Settlement occurs at 15:00 UTC the same day, allowing same-day withdrawal processing for traders using SEPA transfers or Klarna's instant settlement rails.
The 100% crowd probability reflects either thin liquidity in early trading or a perceived mismatch in squad strength. Comparable third-place matches in regional Valorant playoffs have historically drawn modest trading volume relative to finals, partly because prize differential between third and fourth place is marginal. TYLOO's deeper roster depth and prior LAN experience in international events provide a structural edge, though All Gamers' domestic form during Act 2 group stages will be the primary data point. Recent fixture results from the Evolution Series semifinals (typically published 48 hours before playoffs) will clarify current form and substitution patterns.
Traders should monitor official CES scheduling announcements for any reschedule notices, which would trigger the seven-day extension clause. Technical delays or forfeits carry material settlement risk given China's regional broadcast infrastructure dependencies. Payment friction—particularly USDC deposit confirmations and Klarna's 48-hour settlement window—may suppress late-market position adjustments, meaning early-window liquidity often reflects sharper pricing than final odds.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolutio… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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