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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Trade "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Carlos Alcaraz 31% Alexander Zverev 21% Novak Djokovic 12% Ben Shelton 8% Volume: $11.0M Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
31% 69% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
31% 69% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Carlos Alcaraz31%
Alexander Zverev21%
Novak Djokovic12%
Ben Shelton8%
Arthur Fils8%
Taylor Fritz6%
Daniil Medvedev3%
Felix Auger Aliassime3%
Jakub Mensik2%
Frances Tiafoe2%
Alexander Bublik1%
Lorenzo Musetti1%
Jiri Lehecka1%
Flavio Cobolli1%
Andrey Rublev1%
Jannik Sinner0%
Jack Draper0%
Joao Fonseca0%
Holger Rune0%
Matteo Berrettini0%
Hubert Hurkacz0%
Grigor Dimitrov0%
Other0%
Alex de Minaur0%
Casper Ruud0%
Learner Tien0%
Valentin Vacherot0%
Luciano Darderi0%
Francisco Cerundolo0%
Tommy Paul0%
Rafael Jodar0%
Karen Khachanov0%
Arthur Rinderknech0%
Ugo Humbert0%
Alejandro Tabilo0%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry0%
Brandon Nakashima0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%

Market context

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis). The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-13T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page compares 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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Trade 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) on Polymarket Klarna UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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