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What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Trade "What price will Bitcoin hit in August?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

↓ 62,500 89% ↑ 65,000 78% ↓ 60,000 61% ↑ 67,500 51% Volume: $75K Liquidity: $458K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
↓ 62,50089%
↑ 65,00078%
↓ 60,00061%
↑ 67,50051%
↓ 57,50040%
↑ 70,00026%
↓ 55,00022%
↑ 72,50012%
↓ 52,50012%
↑ 75,0004%
↓ 50,0004%
↑ 77,5002%
↓ 47,5002%
↓ 45,0002%
↑ 85,0001%
↑ 82,5001%
↑ 80,0001%
↓ 42,5001%
↓ 40,0001%
↑ 100,0000%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, what price will bitcoin hit in august? stands at 89% likelihood according to current market consensus. What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

Methodology

This page compares What price will Bitcoin hit in August? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
and

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