Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 96% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 76% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 69% |
| Match Winner | 62% |
| Map 2 Winner | 52% |
| Map 4 Winner | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Winner | 43% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 40% |
| Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) | 38% |
| Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) | 28% |
| Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 25% |
| Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) | 23% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between 100 Thieves and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thie…
Methodology
This page compares Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World C… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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