Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| NRFI | 100% |
| O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| Spread -5.5 | 76% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Extra Innings | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 18.5 | 48% |
| O/U 20.5 | 22% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
Market context
The upcoming MLB fixture between the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for Friday 3 July at 8:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field, represents a high-stakes contest where the Giants enter as road favourites with a projected scoreline of 8–4. Historical data from their first three-game series this year shows the Rockies dominating the opening two matches in Denver before the Giants secured a massive 19–6 revenge victory in the third, suggesting a volatile pattern where home advantage at Coors Field often clashes with the Giants’ contact-power blend[1][2]. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% for the Giants appears to contradict these projections, likely reflecting a market overreaction to the Rockies’ earlier dominance rather than the statistical reality of Feltner’s low strikeout rate and the venue’s heat-driven offensive output[1].
Traders must monitor the immediate settlement of the game’s outcome, as any postponement will keep the market open until completion, while a cancellation or tie resolves the book at 50–50[2]. The catalyst for this market’s traction lies in the funding flows driving its depth; specifically, the friction points in depositing via Klarna, SEPA transfers, or USDC rails directly influence how quickly capital enters the book to correct the skewed probability[2]. Recent previews confirm Rafael Devers’ exceptional .383 batting average at Coors Field, a dependency that could rapidly shift the settlement if the Giants capitalise on his OPS of 1.253 in career games there[7]. As the settlement window closes on 11 July 2026, the interplay between these player dependencies and the on-ramp friction for depositors will define the final resolution depth.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $594K.
Methodology
This page compares San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies on Polymarket Klarna UK
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