Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | 79% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| Extra Innings | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| O/U 8.5 | 15% |
| O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| O/U 10.5 | 6% |
| NRFI | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers face the New York Yankees tonight at Yankee Stadium in a 1:35 PM ET MLB clash, with the Tigers currently favoured to win. Market sentiment heavily leans toward the Tigers, reflected in a 79% crowd-implied probability for a YES outcome, suggesting traders expect the Tigers to secure the victory in this high-stakes matchup.
Historical precedents frame this probability as plausible yet volatile; just two days prior on 29 June, the Tigers defeated the Yankees 7–3, with Casey Mize matching a career high of 10 strikeouts against a sloppy Yankees defence[4]. Comparable cases show that when a pitcher like Mize dominates early, the Tigers often maintain momentum, yet the Yankees’ ability to recover in back-to-back games introduces uncertainty that keeps the 79% figure from reaching near-certainty levels.
Traders should monitor Troy Melton’s recent form, who has pitched six innings of one-run ball in each of his past two starts, alongside Will Warren’s readiness to begin July[7]. Any late-injury announcements or pitching schedule adjustments will act as immediate catalysts, potentially shifting the book depth as funding flows react to new dependencies. Recent MLB previews confirm these pitchers are central to the game’s outcome, making their status a critical watch for market participants[7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $420K.
Methodology
This page compares Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees on Polymarket Klarna UK
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