Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 94% |
| United States O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| Team to Advance | 83% |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 71% |
| United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| United States O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| United States (-1.5) | 45% |
| United States O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 26% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 25% |
| United States (-2.5) | 24% |
| Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | 24% |
| United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | 22% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 16% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| United States (-3.5) | 11% |
| O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 7% |
| United States (-4.5) | 4% |
| United States (-5.5) | 4% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5 | 3% |
| O/U 6.5 | 3% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 3% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | 2% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-3.5) | 1% |
| O/U 7.5 | 1% |
| O/U 8.5 | 1% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) | 0% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-4.5) | 0% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-5.5) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - More Markets on Polymarket Klarna UK
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