Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | 100% |
| NRFI | 100% |
| O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Extra Innings | 0% |
| O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Market context
The underlying real-world event is the Major League Baseball game between the Detroit Tigers and the New York Yankees, played on 30 June 2026 at 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. The Tigers secured a decisive victory, with pitcher Mize earning the win after allowing no runs on a single hit across seven innings while striking out ten batters. The combined final score was set at seven runs, confirming a clear outcome that resolves the market to "Detroit Tigers" with certainty.
Historically, 100% crowd-implied probabilities in MLB markets are rare and typically signal a game that has already concluded or a scenario where the outcome is mathematically inevitable. Comparable cases from the 2024 and 2025 seasons show that such certainty usually emerges post-game, as pre-game markets rarely reach full consensus unless one team is playing with a depleted roster or facing a catastrophic injury. The current probability reflects the Tigers' dominant performance, mirroring patterns where a single pitcher's excellence, such as Mize’s ten-strikeout outing, overrides all other variables and locks in the result.
Traders should monitor upcoming Yankees pitching rotations and Tigers offensive schedules for the remainder of the 2026 season, as these dependencies drive future book depth. Recent analysis from Fox Sports highlights Mize’s impact on the game’s outcome, noting his flawless seven-inning performance as the primary catalyst for the Tigers’ win [1]. While this market has settled, the funding flows that supported its depth—linked to payment rails like Klarna and SEPA—demonstrate how deposit friction and withdrawal efficiency influence market traction. The absence of further volatility confirms the game’s resolution, with no need for make-up play or tie-breaking mechanisms.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $763K.
Methodology
This page compares Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees on Polymarket Klarna UK
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