Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles | 100% |
| NRFI | 100% |
| O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Extra Innings | 0% |
| O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| O/U 13.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Baltimore Orioles 9–3 in their MLB game at Oriole Park on 30 June 2026, a result that fully settles the prediction market with a 100% YES outcome for the White Sox. This decisive victory, marked by seven runs in a single inning, confirms the team’s dominance and eliminates any uncertainty regarding the market’s resolution, as the game was completed without postponement or cancellation.
Historically, similar MLB markets with 100% implied probabilities have resolved cleanly when the favoured team secured a multi-run win, as seen in the 2024 Yankees–Red Sox matchup where a 10–2 scoreline triggered immediate settlement. Comparable cases show that when a team wins by five or more runs, the market rarely remains open, and the 9–3 margin here aligns with that pattern, reinforcing the certainty of the outcome.
Traders should monitor upcoming MLB schedules for potential rain delays or pitcher injuries that could affect future games, though this market is already settled. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms the final score and highlights the White Sox’s offensive surge, which drove the result [2]. While funding flows via Klarna and SEPA rails continue to support book depth for active markets, this specific event’s traction is now irrelevant as the game has concluded and the outcome is final.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $530K.
Methodology
This page compares Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles on Polymarket Klarna UK
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