Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots | 100% |
| Malik Tillman: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Malik Tillman: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Malik Tillman: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals + assists | 100% |
| Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Gio Reyna: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Gio Reyna: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Gio Reyna: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Malik Tillman: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Malik Tillman: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Malik Tillman: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Malik Tillman: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Malik Tillman: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Weston McKennie: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Weston McKennie: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ shots | 48% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots | 34% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots on target | 10% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 4+ shots on target | 10% |
| Edin Džeko: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Folarin Balogun: 5+ shots | 5% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shots | 1% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Chris Brady: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 1+ shots on target | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 1+ shots | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Chris Brady: 3+ saves | 0% |
| Chris Brady: 4+ saves | 0% |
| Chris Brady: 5+ saves | 0% |
| Martin Zlomislić: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Martin Zlomislić: 3+ saves | 0% |
| Martin Zlomislić: 4+ saves | 0% |
| Martin Zlomislić: 5+ saves | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Folarin Balogun: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Folarin Balogun: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Haji Wright: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Malik Tillman: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ricardo Pepi: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Tim Weah: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Alejandro Zendejas: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Brenden Aaronson: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Christian Pulisic: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Folarin Balogun: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Edin Džeko: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Gio Reyna: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Weston McKennie: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
Market context
The United States Men’s National Team will face Bosnia and Herzegovina in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 on Wednesday, 1 July at 8 p.m. ET, at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium in Santa Clara, California. This is the first official competition between the two nations, though they have met four times historically. Bosnia, having concluded their group stage with a 3–1 victory over Qatar, snapped a seven-match winless run dating back to November 2025, while the USMNT enters their knockout campaign after a 3–1 group-stage win against Qatar—their second-ever World Cup victory[1].
Historically, player prop markets in early knockout rounds show minimal traction when the crowd-implied probability for a specific outcome sits at 0%, as liquidity concentrates on match-winner and total-goals derivatives. Comparable cases from the 2022 and 2018 World Cups reveal that such zero-probability props rarely settle unless a late injury or tactical shift occurs, which aligns with the current 0% YES reading for this market[1][2]. Book depth here remains thin, driven by funding flows that prioritise high-confidence bets over speculative player props.
Traders should monitor pre-match announcements regarding squad rotations, especially any late withdrawals or tactical adjustments from either side, as these directly impact player prop viability. The match will be broadcast live on FOX and Telemundo, with live odds available on major platforms showing the US favoured at -185 ML and Bosnia at +800[1][2]. Any sudden shift in betting lines or official team news before kickoff—particularly from FIFA’s official tournament updates—could act as a catalyst for liquidity movement in this niche market[5].
Methodology
This page compares United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →