Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria | 14% |
| Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria | 14% |
| Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria | 11% |
| Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria | 10% |
| Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria | 10% |
| Any Other Score | 8% |
| Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria | 8% |
| Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria | 7% |
| Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria | 6% |
| Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria | 5% |
| Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria | 5% |
| Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria | 3% |
| Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria | 3% |
| Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria | 2% |
| Switzerland 2 - 3 Algeria | 2% |
| Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria | 1% |
| Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria | 1% |
Market context
The upcoming FIFA World Cup knockout match between Switzerland and Algeria takes place at BC Place in Vancouver, kicking off at 11:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, 2 July 2026, or 4:00 a.m. BST on Friday, 3 July. The market resolves strictly on the score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. With a current crowd-implied probability of just 5% for an exact score outcome, traders are weighing whether liquidity flows from payment on-ramps like Klarna and SEPA are deepening the book enough to support such a low strike price.
Historically, Switzerland’s defensive discipline has kept them competitive in tight World Cup fixtures, averaging 2.4 points per match with only 1.0 opponent points conceded over their last five games[4]. Meanwhile, Algeria has qualified for the World Cup five times but has only advanced past the knockout stage once, notably in 2014[5]. Their recent group-stage clash with Austria ended in a 3–3 draw, suggesting offensive volatility rather than defensive rigidity[7]. This contrast frames the 5% probability as plausible: Switzerland rarely concedes heavily, while Algeria’s attack is inconsistent, making an exact score a low-likelihood event unless both sides underperform defensively.
Traders should monitor pre-match lineups and referee Yael Falcón Pérez’s disciplinary tendencies, as his history with physical midfield battles could influence goal timing and frequency[2]. Fox Sports notes Switzerland is priced at +102 to win, while Algeria sits at +303, indicating a clear favourite but not a dominant one[3]. Any late announcement regarding player fitness or tactical shifts—particularly from Algeria’s Mahrez, who was active in the Austria match—could alter the exact score dynamics[7]. As deposit rails like USDC and Klarna continue to drive on-ramp volume, the depth of this market will hinge on whether these funding flows sustain liquidity through the settlement window ending 03:00:00Z on 3 July 2026.
Methodology
This page compares Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score on Polymarket Klarna UK
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