Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots | 100% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Sadio Mané: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots | 95% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots | 90% |
| Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots | 87% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots | 77% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots | 69% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots | 69% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shots | 68% |
| Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots | 64% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots | 63% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots | 62% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots | 58% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 5+ shots | 55% |
| Jeremy Doku: 4+ shots | 54% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots | 54% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shots | 54% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots | 54% |
| Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots | 53% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots | 53% |
| Leandro Trossard: 4+ shots | 53% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals + assists | 53% |
| Thibaut Courtois: 2+ saves | 52% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots | 52% |
| Sadio Mané: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Sadio Mané: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Sadio Mané: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Sadio Mané: 1+ goals + assists | 51% |
| Thibaut Courtois: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Thibaut Courtois: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Thibaut Courtois: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Edouard Mendy: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Edouard Mendy: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Sadio Mané: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Sadio Mané: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Sadio Mané: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Sadio Mané: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Sadio Mané: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Sadio Mané: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Bamba Dieng: 1+ goals | 49% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ goals | 49% |
| Jeremy Doku: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Leandro Trossard: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 5+ shots | 49% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots on target | 49% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots on target | 49% |
| Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots on target | 49% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots on target | 49% |
| Sadio Mané: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots on target | 49% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots on target | 49% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shots | 48% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assists | 48% |
| Edouard Mendy: 2+ saves | 47% |
| Edouard Mendy: 5+ saves | 47% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 5+ shots | 47% |
| Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Sadio Mané: 4+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots | 45% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals + assists | 37% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals | 36% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goals | 26% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots | 26% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Sadio Mané: 3+ goals | 23% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assists | 23% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goals | 18% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists | 18% |
| Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals + assists | 18% |
| Leandro Trossard: 1+ assists | 16% |
| Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals + assists | 16% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals | 15% |
| Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals | 15% |
| Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals | 15% |
| Sadio Mané: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Bamba Dieng: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Bamba Dieng: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Sadio Mané: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ goals | 12% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assists | 12% |
| Jeremy Doku: 1+ assists | 12% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goals | 11% |
| Sadio Mané: 1+ assists | 11% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals | 9% |
| Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assists | 7% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Jeremy Doku: 2+ assists | 6% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Leandro Trossard: 2+ assists | 5% |
| Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Sadio Mané: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goals | 1% |
| Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals | 0% |
Market context
Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page compares Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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Trade Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
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