Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) | 92% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -4.5 | 78% |
| Spread -5.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| George Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Seth Cromwell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Herman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kanye Udoh: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Camden Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deshawn Purdie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kam Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peyton Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah Harrison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Corey Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Person: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rashawn Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makai Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cole Keller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braeden Wisloski: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jon Monteiro: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lee Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Za'Ron Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 49% |
| James Madison O/U 30.5 | 35% |
| James Madison O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Liberty O/U 21.5 | 17% |
| Liberty O/U 27.5 | 17% |
| Liberty O/U 16.5 | 17% |
| Liberty O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| O/U 35.5 | 16% |
| James Madison O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| James Madison O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 41.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| O/U 59.5 | 6% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 52.5 | 5% |
| O/U 51.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| O/U 47.5 | 5% |
| O/U 53.5 | 5% |
| O/U 50.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| O/U 55.5 | 3% |
| Spread -24.5 | 2% |
| Liberty vs. James Madison | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
Market context
Liberty vs. James Madison — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Liberty wins, the market will resolve to "Liberty". If James Madison wins, the market will resolve to "James Madison"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $274K.
Methodology
This page compares Liberty vs. James Madison with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade Liberty vs. James Madison on Polymarket Klarna UK
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