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Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props

Fastest route to "Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots 94% Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots 92% Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots 91% Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots 82% Volume: $257K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots94%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots92%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots91%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots82%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shots77%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots76%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots72%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target68%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ shots67%
João Félix: 1+ shots65%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots on target65%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots62%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots57%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots55%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots54%
David Raya: 2+ saves50%
David Raya: 3+ saves50%
David Raya: 5+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 2+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 3+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 5+ saves50%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goals + assists50%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 1+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 2+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 3+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 4+ goals + assists50%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals + assists50%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals + assists50%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals + assists50%
Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists50%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots on target49%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ shots on target49%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shots on target48%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ shots on target48%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ shots on target48%
João Félix: 1+ shots on target48%
João Félix: 2+ shots on target48%
João Félix: 3+ shots on target48%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots on target48%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots on target48%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target48%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots on target48%
David Raya: 4+ saves48%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ shots on target46%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots on target43%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals + assists41%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals40%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals + assists40%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals + assists39%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals + assists39%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots38%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assists36%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ shots35%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals + assists35%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assists35%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals34%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals34%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ shots34%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots34%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots on target34%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ shots33%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ shots32%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ shots on target30%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ shots on target30%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists29%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assists29%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots28%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shots on target28%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ shots on target28%
Diogo Costa: 4+ saves28%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists28%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists27%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shots25%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots25%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots on target25%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists24%
Lamine Yamal: 5+ shots23%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots23%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target23%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ goals + assists23%
Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assists22%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals + assists22%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals21%
João Félix: 3+ shots21%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots on target20%
João Félix: 2+ shots19%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots19%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists19%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals + assists18%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals17%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goals17%
Gonçalo Ramos: 4+ shots17%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ shots16%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 5+ shots16%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shots14%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists14%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots on target14%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target14%
Ferrán Torres: 5+ shots13%
João Félix: 4+ shots13%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ assists13%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assists13%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots on target13%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots on target13%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals12%
Gonçalo Ramos: 5+ shots12%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assists12%
João Félix: 2+ assists12%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals11%
Nico Williams: 4+ shots11%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ shots10%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assists10%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals9%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals9%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals9%
Bruno Fernandes: 4+ shots9%
Nico Williams: 1+ assists9%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals8%
Nico Williams: 5+ shots8%
Nico Williams: 2+ assists8%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals7%
João Félix: 1+ goals6%
João Félix: 5+ shots6%
João Félix: 1+ assists6%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists6%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ goals5%
Bruno Fernandes: 5+ shots4%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assists4%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals3%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goals3%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assists3%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals2%
João Félix: 2+ goals2%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals2%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goals1%
João Félix: 3+ goals1%

Market context

Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 94%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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