Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots | 98% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ assists | 93% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots | 85% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 2+ saves | 76% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals + assists | 76% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots | 75% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots | 73% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots | 61% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ shots | 56% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ shots | 52% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 4+ shots | 51% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Iñaki Williams: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| David Ospina: 2+ saves | 50% |
| David Ospina: 3+ saves | 50% |
| David Ospina: 4+ saves | 50% |
| David Ospina: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 4+ shots | 43% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ shots | 32% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ shots | 28% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ shots | 27% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ assists | 26% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ shots | 24% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals | 23% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 23% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ goals | 22% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals | 19% |
| Jordan Ayew: 3+ shots | 14% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ goals | 12% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals + assists | 12% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ assists | 9% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals | 8% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ assists | 7% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ assists | 3% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ goals | 1% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals | 1% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ goals | 1% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ shots | 1% |
| James Rodríguez: 5+ shots | 1% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ assists | 1% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ assists | 0% |
Market context
Colombia and Ghana will face off in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 on Friday, 3 July at 9:30 PM ET, a knockout clash where Colombia’s high-press system meets Ghana’s organised low block. The market currently prices Ghana’s victory at 11% YES, aligning closely with Dimers’ historical win probability of 11.6% for the underdog in this fixture [6]. Comparable knockout matches featuring a dominant press against a defensive block, such as Brazil versus Serbia in 2022, typically produce low-scoring outcomes with the favourite winning 1–0 or 2–0, mirroring the FanDuel and Bleacher Nation consensus for a tight Colombia win [1][3]. This historical framing suggests the 11% probability is not an outlier but a rational reflection of Ghana’s defensive resilience against a superior attacking force.
Traders should monitor pre-match lineups for Luis Díaz, whose anytime goal prop is heavily favoured at +155, and disciplinary risks for physical midfielders like Ríos Montoya, whose foul count is often underpriced despite averaging 14.1 fouls per match [1][2]. Recent analysis from FanDuel highlights that defensive disruptors are frequently carded in knockouts, with Attia’s card prop at +330 representing a high-conviction play given his 0.58 yellows-per-90 rate [2]. The book depth for this market is directly driven by funding flows through Klarna and SEPA rails; as deposit fees drop and USDC withdrawal rails improve, liquidity for player props like Díaz’s goal and Attia’s card increases, tightening the spread and validating the current 11% implied probability as a stable entry point for informed traders.
Methodology
This page compares Colombia vs. Ghana - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Colombia vs. Ghana - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →