Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots | 90% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 86% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 80% |
| Yahia Fofana: 2+ saves | 75% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 74% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots | 74% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 60% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 60% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 57% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots | 56% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots | 55% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 52% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots | 52% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 51% |
| Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 51% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots on target | 51% |
| Egil Selvik: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jens Hauge: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Amad Diallo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Egil Selvik: 3+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 4+ saves | 49% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots | 49% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots | 47% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots | 46% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots | 46% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots | 45% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots | 45% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots | 45% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots | 45% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 44% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots | 44% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals + assists | 43% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots | 42% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals + assists | 42% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 41% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 5+ shots | 41% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 5+ shots | 40% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots | 40% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ shots | 40% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots | 38% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 38% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals + assists | 37% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals + assists | 36% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ shots | 33% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals + assists | 33% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots | 33% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 33% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals + assists | 33% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals + assists | 32% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists | 32% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals + assists | 32% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 32% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals + assists | 32% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals + assists | 32% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals + assists | 31% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots | 30% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots | 30% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 29% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 27% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals + assists | 27% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals + assists | 27% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 25% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots | 25% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots | 25% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots on target | 25% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 24% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals + assists | 23% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 22% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 22% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots | 21% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 21% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 20% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 18% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals + assists | 18% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals | 17% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals | 17% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 17% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 17% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 16% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists | 16% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots | 15% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 14% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assists | 14% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots on target | 12% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 12% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ assists | 9% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Egil Selvik: 5+ saves | 7% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots | 7% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ assists | 7% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ assists | 6% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists | 6% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ assists | 6% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 5% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals | 4% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals | 4% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals | 4% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 4% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals | 3% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals | 3% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals | 3% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 2% |
| Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 2% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ shots | 1% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ assists | 1% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals | 0% |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway takes place today at 1:00 PM ET, with the crowd-implied probability for the player props market sitting at 25% YES. Historical data from comparable World Cup knockout stages suggests that underdogs like Côte d'Ivoire, currently priced at +270, often drive volatile player prop outcomes when facing physically dominant midfields like Norway’s, which features Franck Kessie and Ibrahim Sangare for control [1]. Analysts predict a 1-2 scoreline favouring Norway, yet the most likely correct score in betting models is a tight 1-1 draw, indicating that player performance metrics may hinge on defensive resilience rather than clear attacking dominance [3].
Traders should monitor real-time announcements regarding lineups and tactical shifts, as Norway’s recent scoring consistency—having scored in 21 of their last 22 games—could amplify player prop traction if Erling Haaland or Amadi are deployed early [5]. The market’s depth is directly correlated with funding flows from Klarna and SEPA on-ramps, where lower deposit fees and swift USDC withdrawal rails are driving increased liquidity for this specific fixture [2]. Recent coverage from SportsLine highlights that the “both teams to score” market is heavily favoured at minus 135, suggesting that player props linked to goals or assists may see heightened volatility if the match follows the predicted high-scoring trajectory [6].
Methodology
This page compares Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props on Polymarket Klarna UK
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