Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Fluxo (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Fluxo (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-9.5) vs paiN Academy (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-6.5) vs paiN Academy (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-6.5) vs paiN Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-6.5) vs paiN Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Fluxo (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-12.5) vs Fluxo (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-9.5) vs paiN Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Fluxo (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Fluxo and paiN Academy are set to face off in the Round of 16 of the CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs, a Counter-Strike 2 match scheduled for 12:00 PM ET on 6 July. The market currently prices a Fluxo victory at 0% YES, implying the crowd expects paiN Academy to win decisively or the match to be voided.
Historically, similar South American CS2 fixtures have shown that lower-ranked teams can outperform expectations when facing unranked or newly formed academies, yet paiN Academy’s 60% win rate across 20 recorded matches suggests a consistent edge[5]. In past CCT qualifiers, teams ranked below 100 have occasionally defeated higher-ranked opponents, but only when map selection favoured their style; here, the maps remain unconfirmed, adding volatility to the 0% probability reading[1].
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for map confirmations and any schedule shifts, as delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the fixture is live and odds will recalculate continuously once play begins, with pre-match markets closing at kickoff[7]. The book’s depth is closely tied to funding flows through Klarna and SEPA rails, where deposit friction and withdrawal fees directly influence liquidity and price stability in this market.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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