Market statistics
- Total volume
- $383K
- 24h volume
- $359K
- Liquidity
- $182K
- Open interest
- $199K
Available prediction outcomes (14)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Bitcoin's price action during the first week of June 2026 will reflect accumulated macro conditions and institutional positioning ahead of the second half of the year. The settlement window captures a seven-day period where spot price discovery occurs across major exchanges, with final settlement determined by the closing price on 7 June.
Historical precedent suggests that single-week Bitcoin price ranges typically span 3–8% in normal market conditions, though volatility clusters around macroeconomic data releases and Federal Reserve communications. The current 0% crowd probability indicates either extreme confidence in a specific price floor or sparse liquidity in this particular contract. Comparable weekly settlement markets on Bitcoin have shown that funding flows—particularly USDC on-ramp velocity through platforms like Kraken and Coinbase—correlate with book depth and tighter bid-ask spreads. When deposit friction increases (SEPA delays, Klarna payment holds), traders often defer position entry, compressing trading volume and widening uncertainty bands.
Traders should monitor late May announcements regarding US inflation data and any ECB policy signals, as these typically drive capital reallocation into or out of risk assets by early June. Withdrawal rail availability—especially SEPA settlement windows and stablecoin bridge capacity—will influence how quickly institutional capital can enter spot markets. Recent reporting from The Block noted that Q2 2026 saw elevated on-ramp fees across European gateways, which may suppress aggressive accumulation during the settlement week and keep price action within tighter bands than historical norms.
Methodology
This page compares What price will Bitcoin hit June 1-7? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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