# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest video will accumulate a measurable view count over its first two days on YouTube. The resolution hinges on the exact figure recorded at the 48-hour mark, with brackets determining which range the market settles to. Given the creator's established audience and algorithmic positioning, the baseline expectation sits well above zero, yet the 0% implied probability suggests either sparse liquidity or a technical settlement concern among current traders.

Historical precedent from MrBeast's upload cadence shows videos regularly exceed 50 million views within 48 hours. His December 2024 releases and prior high-performing content demonstrate consistent performance in the 70–150 million range over two days, depending on content novelty and promotional push. The creator's subscriber base of over 200 million provides a floor for initial velocity, whilst algorithmic amplification on YouTube's homepage and recommendation feeds compounds early traction. Comparable creators at this scale—Logan Paul, SET India, Dude Perfect—show similar two-day trajectories, anchoring expectations around established benchmarks rather than outlier scenarios.

Traders monitoring this market should track MrBeast's upload schedule and any concurrent promotional activity across his secondary channels and social platforms. Seasonal factors matter: uploads during peak viewing windows (weekends, school holidays) historically outperform mid-week releases. Payment friction on entry remains material for book depth; traders using Klarna instalments or SEPA transfers may face settlement delays that compress available trading windows before the 48-hour resolution window closes on 16 June 2026. USDC on-ramp availability would improve capital efficiency for those seeking rapid position entry.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.