Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Hong Kong’s **lowest temperature on 10 August** will be set by the Hong Kong Observatory’s final “Absolute Daily Min” reading for that date, not by intraday chatter or unofficial apps. The market cannot settle until the Observatory publishes the completed daily extract in Celsius to one decimal place, so the key risk is simply whether the day’s official minimum lands in the band backing each contract.

The current 0% YES implies the book is treating this as an extreme-tail outcome, which is consistent with Hong Kong’s August climate. The Observatory’s normals put 10 August’s mean minimum at 26.5°C, while recent August summaries show overnight or daily lows typically clustered in the high 20s, with even hot months still leaving the minimum well above the sub-20s ranges that would move lower brackets[2][4][8][14]. On 9 August 2026, TVB reported Hong Kong’s hottest day on record, with a maximum of 36.9°C, which is supportive of a warm airmass persisting into the settlement day[20].

For traders, the relevant catalysts are the Observatory’s daily publication timing, any late updates to the past-weather page, and whether showers or a shift in wind reduce the overnight low before the noon UTC settlement window closes. In practice, liquidity will track who can fund quickly: Klarna-style card or instant-funding routes usually widen participation, while SEPA and USDC rails matter for larger balance top-ups and faster withdrawal recycling, which can deepen the order book when temperature markets move on a fresh forecast or a published low.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).