Highest temperature in Wellington on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Wellington, New Zealand, faces a mid-summer day on 13 July 2026, where the highest temperature recorded at Wellington International Airport will determine the market outcome. Historical climate data for Wellington in July shows average maximum temperatures hovering around 13.2°C, with typical daily highs rarely exceeding 15°C under normal conditions [5]. The current 0% implied probability for any specific outcome suggests the market expects the temperature to fall outside the listed ranges or that liquidity is insufficient to price discrete degrees accurately, mirroring similar weather contracts where six other temperature outcomes split the remaining share when one specific degree is targeted [1][10].

Traders should monitor real-time updates from Wunderground, the designated resolution source, as gusty winds and sunny intervals forecast for Monday 13th July could push temperatures toward the 12–13°C range [4]. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC, meaning any late afternoon heat spike will not count, and the market relies strictly on the highest reading recorded for all times on that day. Recent forecasts for Wellington International Airport indicate a high of 12°C with southerly winds at 16 mph, reinforcing the low probability of extreme heat [4]. Funding flows into this book depend heavily on seamless on-ramp access via Klarna and SEPA, as friction in depositing or withdrawing USDC rails directly limits the depth available to price these narrow weather bands accurately.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Wellington on July 13? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.