🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

Highest temperature in Wellington on August 8?

Trade "Highest temperature in Wellington on August 8?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

13°C 100% 7°C or below 0% 8°C 0% 9°C 0% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $308K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 8?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
13°C100%
7°C or below0%
8°C0%
9°C0%
10°C0%
11°C0%
12°C0%
14°C0%
15°C0%
16°C0%
17°C or higher0%

Market context

Wellington’s highest temperature for 8 August will be set by the Wellington Intl Airport Station reading in Weather Underground’s Daily Observations table, not the headline day high, so the key question is whether the station ever prints a maximum above the low-teens Celsius band implied by current forecasts. AccuWeather has Wellington at about 14°C/57°F for Saturday, with cloudy, breezy conditions and rain becoming more likely later, while other forecast pages cluster the day around 11–13°C, which leaves the market’s 0% YES price broadly consistent with a cool August baseline rather than a clean breakout day.[1][3][5][8][12]

Historically, Wellington in August is a low-variance, cool-weather setup: monthly normals are around 12°C for daytime highs, with typical ranges mostly between about 9°C and 12°C, and WeatherSpark says daily highs in August rarely exceed 15°C and are usually near 12°C.[2][7][12][14] That matters for funding flows as much as weather: a 0% crowd price can stay pinned when the settlement source is a specific station table rather than a broad city forecast, because small differences between summary cards and recorded observations are enough to decide the contract but not enough to attract much fresh volume from users facing card, SEPA, or USDC on-ramp friction.

Traders should watch the actual Wellington Intl Airport observation line on Weather Underground through the day, plus any forecast updates that shift cloud cover, wind, or rain timing, since warmer-than-expected midday breaks are the main route to a higher recorded max. Current forecast pages already point to cloudy, windy conditions with rain developing later, which reduces the odds of a late spike in the station maximum and helps explain why liquidity may remain thin unless deposits clear quickly through the available payment rails.[1][3][6][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Wellington on August 8? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
and

Trade Highest temperature in Wellington on August 8? on Polymarket Klarna UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →