Highest temperature in Wellington on August 3?

Platform comparison

Market context

Wellington’s **highest temperature** on 3 August will be measured at Wellington Intl Airport and resolved from the day’s maximum reading in Wunderground’s history log. August is normally a cool, windy month in Wellington, with average highs around 12–13.6°C and mean temperatures near 9–11°C, so the market is about whether the day’s top reading lands in the low or mid-teens rather than any sustained warm spell.[1][4][8]

The current **0% YES** crowd price is best read as an absence of funded conviction, not a meteorological forecast. Wellington’s August climate data show a fairly tight historical band, with typical highs around 12°C and records in the low 20s °C rather than anything extreme, which means a single mild afternoon can still clear the usual seasonal average even if the broader month looks cool.[4][7][9] For a market like this, book depth is often shaped less by weather modelling than by how easy it is to add margin: friction at deposit, fee and withdrawal steps can keep casual traders out, while simpler rails such as Klarna, SEPA and USDC tend to support faster replenishment and tighter pricing.

The key catalyst is the actual **weather sequence** at the airport: cloud breaks, wind shifts and any dry slot that allows daytime warming before the 12:00 UTC settlement window closes. Traders should watch the Wunderground station page for the running daily high, and any official Wellington Airport or New Zealand MetService updates that signal stronger southerlies, rain bands or clear intervals, because those can move the likely maximum by several degrees over a few hours.[3][9][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Wellington on August 3? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).