Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Wellington’s highest temperature on 10 August will be set by how warm it gets at Wellington International Airport, with the market resolving off Weather Underground’s Daily Observations rather than any headline day-high figure. August in Wellington is usually cool and fairly compressed thermally: long-run averages cluster around 11–12°C for daytime highs, and recent history shows most August daily maxima sitting in a narrow band around the low teens Celsius.[1][7][12][18]

That makes a 0% crowd-implied “YES” on a specific temperature band look like a classic on-ramp friction market: the order book tends to stay thin until cash is actually deposited, so early prices can be less about meteorology than about who has funded balances, who can move money quickly, and whether withdrawals are easy enough to recycle. In the neighbouring range of historical August outcomes, Wellington has still printed occasional warmer spikes into the mid-teens Celsius, including record highs cited around 15.8°C to 16°C depending on the dataset, so a single warm afternoon is enough to change the winning band even in a cool month.[11][12]

For traders, the key catalysts are the actual station observations through the day and any forecast revisions that change expectations for the afternoon peak, when Wellington’s daily maximum most often lands. The relevant 10 August 2026 Weather Underground history page already shows recent August highs varying from 48°F to 61°F across early-month days, which underlines how quickly a modest synoptic shift can move the result between bands.[8][17] In funding terms, any spike in deposits via Klarna, SEPA, or USDC would matter because it can deepen liquidity into the market before the late-session temperature is known.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).