Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

Tokyo’s peak heat on 17 July 2026 will be measured at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, with the market overwhelmingly pricing a 32°C outcome at 99% probability, while the chance of 25°C or below sits at 0% [1]. This near-certainty reflects Tokyo’s typical mid-July climate, where daily highs routinely exceed 30°C, and historical records for this date show consistent warmth rather than cool anomalies.

Past July 17 readings in Tokyo consistently land between 30°C and 34°C, making the 32°C frontrunner a statistically grounded expectation rather than speculation. The current 0% crowd-implied probability for cooler outcomes aligns with decades of meteorological data, where unseasonably low temperatures on this date are virtually absent, reinforcing the market’s confidence in the warmer bracket.

Traders should monitor the Wunderground daily history page for the official resolution, as it is the sole source for the highest temperature recorded at Haneda Airport on this day [1]. No external announcements or schedules will alter the outcome, since the result depends entirely on the physical temperature reading captured at the station. The market’s depth is driven by funding flows through Klarna and SEPA on-ramps, which enable rapid deposits and withdrawals, ensuring liquidity remains tight around the 32°C consensus.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 17? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.