Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2?

Platform comparison

Market context

Tokyo’s peak temperature on 2 August is usually set by a narrow band of daytime heating rather than any single dramatic swing, and the market is resolving against the highest reading at Haneda Airport, not central Tokyo. AccuWeather’s August outlook has Tokyo’s daily highs clustered between 82°F and 90°F, while hourly forecasts already show a climb from the mid-20s Celsius pre-dawn towards about 32°C by late morning, which keeps the 34°C–36°C range in play if sunshine persists through the afternoon.[1][5]

The current 0% yes price looks more like a thin book than a strong signal, especially in a market where settlement depends on a single station report and late updates can still matter until the next day’s first datapoint is published.[2] Comparable Tokyo summer readings show how quickly Haneda can move into the mid-30s: central Tokyo reached 36.4°C during July’s heatwave, and Japan has already logged multiple 40°C-plus days this summer, underscoring that 33°C and 34°C are not outliers when the Pacific High strengthens.[12][16]

For traders, the main catalysts are the daytime forecast revisions, the afternoon cloud cover over eastern Tokyo, and any heat advisories that alter expectations around the upper end of the range.[2][7] Funding flows can matter more than usual here: deposits that clear quickly, low-friction SEPA top-ups, or instant on-ramps via Klarna or USDC can bring in more participants before the midday temperature data lands, while slower withdrawal rails tend to keep book depth thinner until the market is already leaning one way.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 2? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).