Highest temperature in Taipei on August 2?

Platform comparison

Market context

Taipei’s highest temperature on 2 August will be set by the reading at Taipei Songshan Airport Station, and the settlement source only cares about the day’s peak in °C, not the feel-like temperature or a citywide average. Early-August Taipei is normally hot and humid, with typical daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius and only modest separation between adjacent outcome bands, so the market is really a bet on whether the day lands at 35°C, 36°C or 37°C rather than on any large swing. [2][4][7][15]

The current 0% YES pricing is difficult to read as a pure weather view; it often reflects a market with thin depth, especially where payment friction limits fresh inflows. On Polymarket, the current crowd is concentrated around 36°C and 37°C, with 37°C at 37% and 36°C at 33%, which is consistent with the narrow forecast spread reported this close to the event. When deposits are easiest through card-like rails such as Klarna, and withdrawals can move via SEPA or USDC, the size and speed of funding flows can matter as much as the weather itself for order-book depth and price discovery. [2]

The main catalysts are the afternoon maximum at Songshan, any short-lived cloud cover or rain band, and the timing of the final hourly observations before settlement closes at 12:00 UTC. Polymarket’s own market text notes that revisions to temperatures within the window count until the first datapoint for the following date is published, which makes late-morning and midday station updates relevant to the final outcome. Taipei’s August climate also carries a non-trivial typhoon and shower risk, so a small shift in convection or wind can move the observed high by 1°C even when the broader forecast looks stable. [2][10][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Taipei on August 2? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).