Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 24?

Platform comparison

Market context

Shanghai’s highest temperature will be set by the afternoon peak at Pudong Airport, and the key issue is whether the day stays in the high-20s to mid-30s Celsius band typical for late July. July in Shanghai is normally hot, humid and rainy, with average highs around 32°C and frequent showers, so the market’s 0% YES implies the book is pricing either an unusually cool reading or a lack of liquidity rather than a strong meteorological view.[3][5]

For context, Shanghai forecasts often cluster around the low- to mid-30s in summer, with short-lived rain bands able to cap the day’s maximum if they arrive during the warmest hours.[1][2] That matters for a settlement based on the single highest reading at the airport station, because a brief break in cloud cover can lift the outcome into the 31–35°C range even when the broader day feels unsettled.[3][4]

The main catalysts are the published forecast updates, timing of any rain or thunderstorms, and the exact airport observation used by Wunderground for the settlement window. Traders will also watch whether funding flows support tighter pricing: the market can deepen quickly when deposits settle cleanly through low-friction rails such as Klarna or SEPA, while USDC withdrawals can bring in faster-moving capital from users who prefer to recycle balances across weather and event books. In practice, the probability can move more on fresh forecast revisions and liquidity injection than on slow changes in climate norms.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 24? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).