Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Shanghai will record its peak daytime temperature at Pudong International Airport on 13 July 2026, with settlement based on the highest Celsius reading captured by Wunderground. July in Shanghai is consistently hot and humid, typically seeing daytime highs exceed 35°C (95°F), while the 2026 forecast for Pudong specifically projects daily highs between 30°C and 37°C (86°–97°F) [1][4].

The current 0% YES probability for any specific range appears disconnected from historical reality, as comparable July dates in Shanghai routinely breach 30°C. Similar weather markets often show initial liquidity skew before correcting toward climatological norms; for instance, a related market on Shanghai’s lowest temperature on this date currently assigns 45% probability to outcomes below 23°C, suggesting traders are actively pricing thermal ranges [3]. Until funding flows align with these historical baselines, the book depth will remain thin.

Traders should monitor the hourly forecast updates from Yr and AccuWeather, which currently indicate a maximum of 33°C for 13 July, alongside any sudden shifts in precipitation or wind that could suppress peak heat [1][10]. The settlement depends entirely on the Wunderground record for ZSPD, so any discrepancy between forecast models and the official station log will drive immediate price action. As deposit rails like Klarna and SEPA facilitate faster on-ramping, deeper liquidity should emerge once these temperature dependencies are confirmed by the morning’s data release.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 13? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.