Market statistics
- Total volume
- $255K
- 24h volume
- $216K
- Liquidity
- $173K
- Open interest
- $103K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (11)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Seoul's weather on 2 June 2026 will be measured at Incheon International Airport, the standard meteorological station for the region. Early June typically marks the transition into South Korea's rainy season, with temperatures generally ranging between 20–28°C, though heat waves occasionally push readings higher. The settlement hinges on Wunderground's historical data feed for that specific station, which requires traders to verify the temperature unit conversion settings before placing positions.
Historical June temperatures at Incheon show considerable year-to-year variation. Between 2015 and 2024, daily highs in early June ranged from 18°C during cooler years to 31°C during anomalously warm periods. The 0% crowd probability suggests either extremely tight range boundaries in the market's resolution categories or insufficient liquidity to attract hedging interest. Comparable weather markets typically see deeper order books when settlement windows approach within two weeks, as traders gain confidence in forecast models and historical analogues become more reliable.
Traders monitoring this market should track the Korea Meteorological Administration's extended forecasts, which typically gain accuracy five to ten days before the settlement date. Deposit friction remains material for weather market participation—traders requiring SEPA transfers or Klarna on-ramps may face settlement delays that compress their decision window. Book depth will likely remain shallow until late May, when near-term weather patterns crystallise and capital flows into weather-hedging positions.
Wikipedia Context
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Highest temperature recorded on EarthThe highest temperature recorded on Earth has been measured in three major ways: air, ground, and via satellite observation. Air measurements are used as the standard measurement due to persistent issues with unreliable ground and satellite readings. Air measurements are noted by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and Guinness World Records among ot
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List of extreme temperatures in Canada
The following is a list of the most extreme temperatures recorded in Canada.
Methodology
This page compares Highest temperature in Seoul on June 2? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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