Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

Seoul experiences peak summer heat in mid-July, with daily highs typically ranging from 28–32°C during this period. The 14th falls within the height of the East Asian monsoon season, when humidity and afternoon thunderstorms are common. Temperature readings at Incheon International Airport Station—the official settlement source—reflect conditions at a coastal location roughly 50 km west of central Seoul, which tends to run 1–2°C cooler than the city centre due to maritime influence.

Historical data from the past decade shows July 14th temperatures at Incheon have ranged between 26°C and 31°C, with 2018 recording 30.8°C and 2019 reaching 31.2°C. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either uncertain about the exact threshold bands offered or waiting for more granular forecast data. Early-July 2026 weather patterns and any developing tropical systems will shape the final outcome; the Korea Meteorological Administration typically issues detailed 10-day forecasts by early July, which traders can cross-reference against Wunderground's historical records.

For UK-based traders using Klarna or SEPA deposits, settlement timing matters: the market closes at 12:00 UTC on July 14th, allowing same-day resolution once Wunderground updates its daily high. Withdrawal via USDC or traditional rails typically clears within 2–3 business days, so funds from early resolutions can be redeployed quickly into subsequent weather markets or other prediction instruments.

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).