Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

Incheon airport’s hottest reading on 1 August will be the value that settles this market, and the crowd is currently assigning **0%** to the event landing in the YES range. That is notably low against the backdrop of a Korean summer that routinely produces high-20s to low-30s Celsius at coastal and capital-area stations, with Incheon’s August average daytime maximum around 29°C and Seoul’s around 30–31°C in climatology and traveller-facing weather references.[12][16][19][11]

For context, the wider region has seen sharp August heat spikes before: Seoul reached 39.6°C on 1 August 2018, which remains the city’s all-time high in the cited record set, while South Korea as a whole has posted extreme national maxima above 40°C during heatwaves.[1][9][15] That history matters because a zero-implied market usually reflects either a very hot threshold, a narrow settlement band, or the belief that a specific station will stay below the upper bins even if the city feels oppressive. In markets like this, funding friction can matter almost as much as weather: books tend to deepen when deposits are easy and cheap, so Klarna on-ramps, SEPA transfers, and USDC rails can pull in more European and crypto-native liquidity, while withdrawal speed affects whether traders recycle capital into late-day positions.

The main catalysts are the forecast track, any Korean Meteorological Administration heat advisories, and whether cloud, rain, or marine air trims the airport’s daytime peak relative to inland Seoul. Early morning observations already show strong heat in the region, with Seoul at 27.4°C and Incheon at 26.8°C by 9 a.m. in one report, which keeps the upside alive if afternoon heating accelerates.[3] For traders, the key dependency is not just the city forecast but the exact airport-station high recorded before the settlement window closes, because a few tenths of a degree can decide the range outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 1? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.