Highest temperature in NYC on July 9?

Platform comparison

Market context

The real-world event centres on the highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport on 9 July 2026, with the market currently assigning a 98% probability to the 86–87°F range. Historical data from this summer shows LaGuardia hit 102°F on 4 July, with midnight temperatures reaching a record 94°F, suggesting sustained heatwave conditions typical of early July in New York. Comparable cases from 2013 and 1966 confirm that daily highs in this period frequently exceed 85°F, making the current 0% YES probability for lower ranges consistent with observed climatic norms.

Traders should monitor daily climatological reports from the National Weather Service and real-time updates from FOX Weather, which recently highlighted LaGuardia’s record-breaking midnight heat as a key indicator of persistent high-pressure systems. The settlement depends entirely on Wunderground’s official daily high, so any discrepancies between NWS and third-party sources could affect book depth. Recent funding flows into polymarket-klarna.co.uk, driven by seamless SEPA and USDC deposit rails, have increased liquidity in this market, linking payment friction reductions directly to tighter spreads and more accurate pricing. As withdrawal rails like Klarna and SEPA continue to streamline access, market traction remains tied to the efficiency of these on-ramp mechanisms.

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Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in NYC on July 9? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.