Highest temperature in NYC on August 9?

Platform comparison

Market context

New York City’s highest temperature on 9 August is being measured at LaGuardia Airport, with the market resolving to the specific Fahrenheit range that contains the day’s top reading from Weather Underground’s Daily Observations table. That structure matters for pricing: a market can trade one way on the headline forecast while the settlement source later records a slightly different peak, especially when the final datapoint comes from the station log rather than the summary line.[1]

The current 0% YES reading is not a statement about the weather itself so much as a reflection of the listed contract bins: the crowd is effectively saying none of the available temperature ranges is being assigned any live probability at present. Comparable summer New York temperature markets usually cluster around the most likely mid-80s to low-90s band when forecasts call for warm, stable conditions; here, recent guidance pointed to a daily high near 90°F, and market commentary on the event page said traders had concentrated in the 90–91°F and 92–93°F outcomes.[1][4] That is the sort of setup where later revisions in the station record can still matter until the next day’s first datapoint is published.[1]

For a payments-focused venue, the practical driver is funding friction rather than meteorology. Book depth tends to be thinnest when deposits and withdrawals are slow or costly, so adoption of low-friction rails such as Klarna on-ramp flows, SEPA transfers, and USDC settlement can matter more than the headline temperature call itself. The immediate catalysts are the final NWS and local observation updates, any late-day shifts in the LaGuardia station log, and whether the market’s end-of-window timing still allows traders to respond before the settlement source locks in.[1][3][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in NYC on August 9? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).