Highest temperature in NYC on August 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

New York’s temperature outcome hinges on the LaGuardia Airport station reading for 14 August, with Weather Underground’s daily observations as the settlement source rather than any headline high in the summary box. Mid-August normal highs at LaGuardia are in the mid-80s Fahrenheit, and the market is therefore mostly a question of whether the day prints a routine low-80s or mid-80s top rather than an unusual heat event. The crowd’s 0% yes price is hard to reconcile with a warm-season station that has already shown mid-80s readings on comparable August days.

For framing, this is the sort of market where the funding rail can matter more than the forecast edge. Faster deposits and low-friction top-ups usually translate into tighter books, while withdrawal options such as SEPA and USDC tend to support repeat participation by reducing cash-out delay and cross-border cost. Klarna-led on-ramps are most relevant where users want card-linked funding without a fresh bank transfer, but any extra verification or fee drag can still suppress depth at the margin.

The main catalysts are the live daily observations at KLGA and the point at which Weather Underground posts the next day’s first datapoint, because that closes the settlement window for revisions. On the day itself, traders should watch the National Weather Service and nearby airport observations for confirmation of whether LaGuardia is tracking the broader city pattern or diverging locally; the reported day-high in the summary is not what resolves the market. Recent airport observations already showed temperatures around the mid-80s, which makes the final bucket sensitive to even small late-afternoon changes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in NYC on August 14? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).