Highest temperature in NYC on August 11?

Platform comparison

Market context

New York City's weather on 11 August 2026 will determine the highest temperature reading recorded at LaGuardia Airport that day, measured in degrees Fahrenheit and sourced from Weather Underground's Daily Observations table. The market settles based on the precise instrumental record rather than summary forecasts, making historical station data the decisive factor.

August temperatures at LaGuardia typically range between 75°F and 88°F, with the airport's 30-year average high around 82°F. The station has recorded readings above 95°F on roughly 5–7 days per August in recent decades, though extreme heat waves pushing toward 100°F remain infrequent. The current 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in a scenario where the day's high falls below the lowest available resolution bracket, reflecting baseline summer conditions rather than anomalous heat. Comparable August days at LaGuardia show that mid-range temperatures (80–88°F) dominate the distribution, anchoring expectations around seasonal norms.

Traders monitoring this market should track Atlantic hurricane activity and upper-level pressure patterns in early August 2026, as tropical systems or heat dome formation could shift outcomes materially. The National Weather Service's extended forecasts, typically issued 7–10 days ahead, will provide the most actionable signal. Liquidity and book depth on this market depend on deposit flows through Klarna and SEPA rails; as settlement approaches, traders with access to faster funding mechanisms may arbitrage pricing inefficiencies. The 0% baseline reflects limited early trading volume rather than certainty about the outcome.

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in NYC on August 11? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).