Highest temperature in Munich on August 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

The key event is the day’s *highest temperature at Munich Airport*, which will be measured and settled from the historical weather page for EDDM rather than from the city centre. August in Munich is normally warm but not extreme: climatology points to typical highs around 24°C to 25°C, with August averages near 74°F to 76°F, while record August heat has reached 38°C to 92°F in past years.[2][5][6][9][13]

A 1% yes price is consistent with a market that expects the outcome to land in the lower temperature bands unless a brief hot spell develops. Comparable August climate data show daily highs usually easing through the month, with Munich’s average high near 75°F and late-August norms closer to 70°F, while the historical ceiling is much higher in rare heatwave years.[2][14] That makes the book sensitive to a single warm afternoon, but the default path is still a mid-20s Celsius reading rather than a breakout into the upper 20s or 30s.[1][3][8]

For traders, the main catalysts are funding and access conditions rather than the weather setup alone: deposits via Klarna or SEPA are typically the quickest way to add balance, while USDC rails matter for larger or faster top-ups when liquidity is thin. That on-ramp friction can shape book depth more than the forecast itself, because a small number of funded accounts can move the probability if late heat alerts narrow the range. The most relevant operational watchpoints are Munich weather warnings, airport-area forecast updates, and any late-morning temperature surge before the midday settlement window closes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Munich on August 1? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).