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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?

Trade "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

78-79°F 100% 65°F or below 0% 66-67°F 0% 68-69°F 0% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $275K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
78-79°F100%
65°F or below0%
66-67°F0%
68-69°F0%
70-71°F0%
72-73°F0%
74-75°F0%
76-77°F0%
80-81°F0%
82-83°F0%
84°F or higher0%

Market context

Los Angeles International Airport was running near the upper 70s Fahrenheit on 14 August, with the official forecast around 78°F and the latest airport observations already in the mid-to-high 70s by afternoon, so the market is anchored to a fairly narrow intra-day range rather than an extreme-heat setup[3][6][10]. Weather Underground’s own history page for KLAX is the resolution source, which means the daily observations table, not the summary high/low box, determines the outcome; that distinction matters when traders are deciding whether a print is likely to land in the 70–79°F bucket or edge into 80s later in the day[11][14].

Historically, August at KLAX often settles in the 70s, with the current climate report for 13 August showing a 77°F maximum against a normal of 77°F, reinforcing how ordinary late-summer airport temperatures can be around this level[5]. That makes a 0% implied probability on any higher band look like a reflection of thin book depth rather than a strong weather view, especially in a market where the decisive temperature can move on a single late-afternoon observation.

For traders, the main catalysts are the timing of the final Wunderground observations and any late-day marine layer clearing or onshore wind changes that alter the airport high before the settlement window closes[6][11]. Market depth is usually driven by funding friction: if deposits clear quickly through rail options such as Klarna, SEPA or USDC, more size can arrive around the final forecast hours, whereas slower on-ramp flows tend to leave these weather books shallow until late.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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