Highest temperature in Dallas on July 12?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas on 12 July 2026 will see its peak heat recorded at Dallas Love Field, with the market betting on which Fahrenheit range captures that daily maximum. The settlement relies on Wunderground’s official daily high for the station, a standard metric used by meteorologists and traders alike to resolve temperature-based prediction markets.

Historical July data for Dallas Love Field shows average highs between 96°F and 102°F, with record highs reaching 106°F in past years [1][7]. The current 0% YES probability suggests the crowd expects the temperature to fall outside the offered range, likely because forecast models project a high near 86–88°F for that date, well below typical July peaks [4]. Such a deviation from seasonal norms would be unusual, as July is consistently the warmest month in Dallas, with the average warmest day hitting 96.1°F [7].

Traders should monitor real-time updates from the National Weather Service and Wunderground as the settlement window closes, watching for any sudden shifts in cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures [5]. While no major weather announcements are scheduled, the dependency on a single data source means any discrepancy between Wunderground and other stations could affect resolution. Given the forecasted low of 86°F for 12 July, the market’s current pricing appears aligned with early model consensus, though late-stage volatility remains possible in summer heat events [4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Highest temperature in Dallas on July 12? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).

Are payment details protected?

Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.